量能萎缩地量能见地价吗？
<P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 10.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">今天大盘的成交量极度萎缩，多空双方处于观望之中，上海全天的成交金额也没有超过</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us>500</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">万，难道是地量见地价？笔者认为不要过早下结论，至少要等待大盘突破</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us>2810</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">点，才能考虑是否见底。</SPAN></P><P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 10.5pt"><SPAN lang=en-us><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></SPAN></P><P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 10.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">今天消息面没有特别大的利空出现，反而出现了规范上市公司的利好，属于安抚性质的，不构成大幅上涨的条件，只有周末在深圳召开的国际股评会，有可能对大盘造成惜售心理，由于此罗杰斯和胡立阳的观点不适用于中国国情，最近听信他们的投资者已经严重被套，今天上午主力又趁势拉了一把，冲动入场的小散再次被套。</SPAN></P><P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 10.5pt"><SPAN lang=en-us> <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:o<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 10.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">板块方面只有上海本地股受到迪斯尼落户的影响，快速冲高，甚至封死涨停板，旅游板块和农业板块走势较强，在经过</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us>1</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">天的回调之后再次上攻，有利好公布的股票上攻欲望开始消退，笔者还是提醒大家：千万不能追热点板块，因为现在是弱势市场。</SPAN></P><P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 10.5pt"><SPAN lang=en-us> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 10.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">从技术上分析，上周五在破位大跌后，笔者认为在</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us>2723</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">点止跌的反弹，属于小周期反弹，会受阻于</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us>2766</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">点，符合笔者的判断，下午大盘果然又创了新低，由于这个</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us>2695</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">点新低的意义不大，弱势反弹后，指数已经呈现出胶着状态，随着成交量的萎缩，多空争夺意志已经明显减弱，也许已经真正到了“反弹不是底，是底不反弹”的时候，真希望在这个位置，以静制动，耐心等待大盘的底部早日构筑成功！所以，笔者还是坚持“新低必然有反弹，强支撑可以设置在</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us>2630</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">点附近”的观点。</SPAN></P><P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 10.5pt"><SPAN lang=en-us> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 10.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">明天大盘依然会反弹，上面的阻力是</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us>2760—2810</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">点，密切注意</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us>60</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">分钟</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us>k</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">线图的</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us>macd</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">指标，只有出现绿柱不断减少，才能小心做多；明天大盘的支撑是</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us>2680—2720</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">点。</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us> </SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">板块方面建议关注金融板块，只有他们才能稳定住大盘，而要上涨，笔者认为可以启动钢铁板块，至于</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us>ipo</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">受益的板块，笔者建议大家千万不要碰，未来到底能够受益多少？只有鬼才能知道。</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 10.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">下一个重要的时间窗口是</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us>7</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">月</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us>3</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">日左右。</SPAN></P><P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 10.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">对于笔者曾经提醒过的</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">000830</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">鲁西化工</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">600797</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">浙大网新</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">000822</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">山东海化</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">600522</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">中天科技，中小盘股票可以关注</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">002238</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">天威视讯和</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">600351</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">亚宝药业。你可以获利了结，也可以做差价，请你自己决定吧。</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 12.0pt"><SPAN lang=en-us style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></P><P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 10.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">相信笔者的预测，你就会和财富握手，笔者不招任何形式的会员，不会骗大家的，请各位放心。</SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"> </SPAN></P><P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 10.5pt"><SPAN lang=en-us style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p></o:p></SPAN> </P><P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all; TEXT-INDENT: 21.1pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 10.55pt; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto"><B><SPAN style="COLOR: red; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">以上分析仅供参考，由于市场变幻莫测，对于股票方面的问题，均不作技术上的解答，请投资者谅解。</SPAN></B><B><SPAN lang=en-us style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: red; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P><P class=msonormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; WORD-BREAK: break-all"><SPAN lang=en-us> </SPAN><SPAN lang=en-us style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> </SPAN> <SPAN>
